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EW Online: Prizefighter says Argo leading Best Picture Oscar race but can it hold?

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EW Online: Prizefighter says Argo leading Best Picture Oscar race but can it hold?

Post by LornaDoone on Mon 26 Nov 2012, 16:27

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We’re still almost a month-and-a-half away from the close of nominations on Jan. 3. Academy voters have seen a lot already and have a few heavy favorites, but some potential contenders haven’t even begun screening for them yet. (Reporters sometimes get to see rough cuts, but voters must wait for the finished product.)

Based on the voters I’ve talked to, it’s close to a four-way tie between Ben Affleck’s Iran rescue drama Argo, Ang Lee’s mystical Life of Pi, Steven Spielberg’s Lincoln, and David O. Russell’s manic romance Silver Linings Playbook. (See here if you want a run-down of how votes are tallied. And check out Gurus O’ Gold and Gold Derby for aggregate rankings from others.)

If voting were held today I think it would go down like this. Again, it’s not my personal preference, but an estimation based on anecdotal sampling of voters. The safe thing would be to make this prediction now and stick with it for the long term, but voters seem to change their minds constantly. I think a lot could evolve, so I’m going to take a risk on an alternate scenario for how the final ranking could shake out. (More on that later.):

1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Silver Linings Playbook
4. Life of Pi

Both Argo and Silver Linings Playbook debuted in September at the Toronto International Film Festival to raves, but Argo has the advantage because it has already opened nationally to solid and enduring box office, is one of the best-reviewed wide releases of the year, and has been out long enough to build into a consensus choice. It’s a safe bet, so if you ask voters to rank their favorites of the year, it’s usually the first one they say. “Solid” is the word I hear again and again from admiring Argo voters. Support for it could easily be the same, leading it straight to Best Picture victory.

But the downside to being such an early frontrunner is maintaining that momentum.

Argo is a sure-fire nominee, but Warner Bros. has to walk the line between maintaining its support and not wearing out its welcome. It’s easier for a film like The Artist to cling to front-runner status in a year when there isn’t a lot of major competition, but Argo will face an especially strong line-up of heavy-hitter challengers.


Last edited by LornaDoone on Mon 26 Nov 2012, 16:28; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : add category in title)
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Re: EW Online: Prizefighter says Argo leading Best Picture Oscar race but can it hold?

Post by silly girl on Mon 26 Nov 2012, 16:53

I agree with this....Les Miz still needs to open and Lincoln is a strong competitor.

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Re: EW Online: Prizefighter says Argo leading Best Picture Oscar race but can it hold?

Post by Katiedot on Mon 26 Nov 2012, 17:35

Oooh, it could be George on the Oscars red carpet again!
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Re: EW Online: Prizefighter says Argo leading Best Picture Oscar race but can it hold?

Post by Maggy on Mon 26 Nov 2012, 17:46

And his other half.

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Re: EW Online: Prizefighter says Argo leading Best Picture Oscar race but can it hold?

Post by OofOof on Mon 26 Nov 2012, 17:56

You made me laugh Ms. maggy!
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Re: EW Online: Prizefighter says Argo leading Best Picture Oscar race but can it hold?

Post by Katiedot on Mon 26 Nov 2012, 17:57

Oh, and won't that be fun. /sarcasm
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Re: EW Online: Prizefighter says Argo leading Best Picture Oscar race but can it hold?

Post by Maggy on Mon 26 Nov 2012, 19:28

OofOof wrote:You made me laugh Ms. maggy!
Really!

I was laughing when I wrote, too.

Laughing
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Re: EW Online: Prizefighter says Argo leading Best Picture Oscar race but can it hold?

Post by Atalante on Mon 26 Nov 2012, 23:54

But Lincoln izzzzzz Clooney, remember ! Twisted Evil
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Re: EW Online: Prizefighter says Argo leading Best Picture Oscar race but can it hold?

Post by it's me on Tue 27 Nov 2012, 05:27

LOOL
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Re: EW Online: Prizefighter says Argo leading Best Picture Oscar race but can it hold?

Post by silly girl on Wed 28 Nov 2012, 15:31

Wasn't sure if I should start a new thread---you can move Katie.

Ben Affleck is the Entertainer of the Year for Entertainment Weekly.
GC gets his name on the cover and a blurb (not sure if there is more in actual magazine article).


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GC quote: Argo producer George Clooney also weighs in on Affleck’s triumphant return to the A-list after a decade of ups and downs. “Hollywood loves a comeback, and he’s an unbelievable comeback kid.”

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Re: EW Online: Prizefighter says Argo leading Best Picture Oscar race but can it hold?

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